As a former high-stakes professional poker player, I learned early on that the difference between a good player and a great player isn’t just skill—it’s the ability to use deductive reasoning when working with incomplete information. Success isn’t about waiting for absolute certainty; it’s about analyzing available data, recognizing patterns, and making the most informed decision possible.
When it comes to Donald Trump’s relationship with Russia, we may never have a direct, undeniable “smoking gun” proving that he is a Russian asset. But we do have an overwhelming mountain of evidence linking him to the Kremlin. So much, in fact, that it leads to only two reasonable conclusions:
1️⃣ Trump is a Russian asset.
2️⃣ Trump follows Putin’s geopolitical strategy because he wants to be like him.
Even if you dismiss the first option, the second is impossible to ignore—because we see it play out every single day.
Trump’s Latest Alignment With Putin
Just days ago, Trump’s cabinet ministers met privately with Putin’s ministers to discuss a ceasefire in Ukraine. This alone raised eyebrows, but what made it even more concerning was who wasn’t invited to the table:
Ukraine—the country actually being invaded.
Any representatives from EU nations, many of whom have financially and militarily supported Ukraine.
Think about that for a moment: The country that would have to comply with a ceasefire agreement wasn’t even present for the negotiations.
Following the meeting, Trump made several disturbing statements that echoed Kremlin propaganda:
“You (Ukraine) should have never started it. You could have made a deal.”
Blaming Ukraine—the country that was invaded—is textbook gaslighting straight out of Putin’s playbook.
He then called President Zelenskyy a “dictator” for not holding elections, conveniently ignoring that Ukrainian law prohibits elections under martial law, which was triggered by Russia’s invasion. This is a deliberate attempt to delegitimize Ukraine’s leadership and sow division.
He followed up by dismissing Ukraine’s ability to negotiate, saying Zelenskyy was “negotiating with no cards.” This is yet another Kremlin narrative aimed at undermining Western support for Ukraine.
And then, on February 24, the United States took an unprecedented step:
For the first time in U.N. history, the U.S. aligned with Russia, Belarus, Hungary, North Korea, and Israel in voting against a resolution condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
This sent shockwaves through Europe. The U.S. effectively signaled that it no longer fully supports its NATO allies against authoritarian aggression.
And just like that, we moved one step closer to global instability.
Trump’s Long History of Russian Ties
If Trump’s recent behavior weren’t enough, his long history of financial and political ties to Russia makes the picture even clearer.
In 2008, Donald Trump Jr. made a revealing statement about the family’s business interests:
"Russians make up a pretty disproportionate cross-section of a lot of our assets… We see a lot of money pouring in from Russia."
If Russian oligarchs were financially backing Trump, how independent could he truly be?
But this relationship didn’t start in 2008. It likely goes back to 1987, when Trump made his first visit to Moscow—a trip arranged by Soviet Ambassador Yuri Dubinin.
Shortly after returning from that trip, Trump took out full-page ads in major U.S. newspapers criticizing America’s foreign policy and calling for an end to alliances like NATO.
Before 1987, Trump had no political ideology. After one Soviet visit, he suddenly developed strong foreign policy opinions that perfectly aligned with Russia’s interests.
Coincidence? Perhaps. But let’s keep looking at the bigger pattern.
Trump’s Pro-Russia Policies: A Consistent Pattern
Since taking office in 2017, Trump has repeatedly pushed policies that favor Russia, often at the direct expense of U.S. national interests.
Key Pro-Russia Actions Under Trump:
✔ Tried to return seized Russian compounds (2017)—These properties were confiscated by Obama as a penalty for election interference.
✔ Repeatedly questioned NATO’s relevance.
✔ Withheld military aid from Ukraine (2019).
✔ Withdrew from key nuclear arms control agreements (2019).
✔ Pushed for Russia’s re-entry into the G7.
✔ Cast doubt on Russian election interference—even after U.S. intelligence confirmed it.
✔ Announced a withdrawal of 20,000 U.S. troops from NATO countries (2025).
✔ Proposed economic deals with Russia despite ongoing sanctions.
✔ Criticized European allies while praising Putin.
If any of these actions genuinely benefited American interests, I’d love to hear the argument. But even most conservatives in Congress don’t support these positions.
Trump’s Administration: A Web of Russian Ties
Beyond Trump himself, his inner circle has been riddled with individuals who had direct links to Russia. Here’s a quick who’s who of Trump’s Russia-connected officials:
Michael Flynn – Secretly negotiated with Russia before taking office.
Paul Manafort – Took millions from pro-Russian oligarchs in Ukraine.
Jared Kushner – Met with Russian banker Sergey Gorkov to discuss back-channel diplomacy.
Jeff Sessions – Lied about meetings with Russian officials during his confirmation hearing.
Wilbur Ross – Had financial ties to Russian oligarch-linked banks.
Donald Trump Jr. – Attended a Trump Tower meeting with a Russian lawyer promising dirt on Hillary Clinton.
Roger Stone – Coordinated with WikiLeaks, which received hacked emails from Russian intelligence.
Michael Cohen – Secretly worked on Trump Tower Moscow while lying to Congress.
Rick Gates, George Papadopoulos, Carter Page, Felix Sater, Boris Epshteyn… the list goes on and on.
One or two might be bad luck—but this many? That’s a pattern.
So, Is Trump a Russian Asset?
When asked if his investigation cleared Trump, Robert Mueller stated:
“The investigation identified numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump campaign. However, it did not establish that the campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities.”
The absence of a single piece of direct evidence does not mean Trump is innocent. It simply means collusion is incredibly difficult to prove in a legal sense.
But we don’t need a court verdict to see what’s right in front of us.
Great poker players don’t wait for an opponent to flip over their cards—they read the patterns, connect the dots, and make the best decision based on the evidence available.
And every single piece of evidence points to one undeniable truth:
Trump’s actions consistently align with Russian interests.
Call it an asset, a useful idiot, or a fanboy—but the results are the same.
And for the United States, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
Great article. I think it’s also important to note that part of the reason Mueller’s investigation was inconclusive was because the Trump team obstructed the investigation on numerous occasions. That’s not exactly something innocent people would do.